BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
-----------------------------------------------
Waverly-Shell Rock
Class: 4A Class Rank: 24 Conference: (11-1) Overall: (17-5) Overall Strength = 74.38
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 12/06/2003 Home W 78.62 61 58 3A 5 (15-10) Cedar Rapids Xavier 2.51 0.49
2 12/12/2003 Away W * 88.99 78 37 3A 60 ( 4-19) Oelwein 12.88 * 28.12
3 12/13/2003 Away L 64.45 51 61 4A 28 ( 9-13) Waterloo West -11.66 1.66
4 12/16/2003 Away W * 68.88 54 49 3A 35 ( 8-13) Decorah -7.23 12.23
5 12/18/2003 Home W * 65.96 62 55 3A 33 (12-10) Waukon -10.15 17.15
6 12/20/2003 Neutral W 69.68 64 50 3A 50 ( 6-18) Independence -6.44 20.44
7 12/20/2003 Away W 68.97 72 67 3A 34 (10-12) Vinton-Shellsburg -7.14 12.14
8 01/03/2004 Away L 63.63 55 58 2A 34 ( 9-13) Waterloo Columbus -12.48 9.48
9 01/06/2004 Away W 98.37 49 46 4A 2 (21- 5) Waterloo East 22.26 -19.26
10 01/09/2004 Away L * 67.49 66 71 3A 12 (24- 3) Cresco Crestwood -8.62 3.62
11 01/16/2004 Home W * 93.67 70 31 3A 48 ( 6-15) New Hampton 17.56 21.44
12 01/17/2004 Home W 80.31 57 46 3A 10 (19- 6) Webster City 4.20 6.80
13 01/23/2004 Away W * 80.68 62 46 3A 29 (13-10) Charles City 4.57 11.43
14 01/30/2004 Home W * 86.07 90 48 3A 60 ( 4-19) Oelwein 9.96 * 32.04
15 02/03/2004 Home W * 83.96 69 45 3A 35 ( 8-13) Decorah 7.85 16.15
16 02/06/2004 Away W * 65.88 63 60 3A 33 (12-10) Waukon -10.23 13.23
17 02/10/2004 Home W * 72.57 71 67 3A 12 (24- 3) Cresco Crestwood -3.54 7.54
18 02/13/2004 Away W * 82.59 82 58 3A 48 ( 6-15) New Hampton 6.48 17.52
19 02/14/2004 Home W 86.17 75 37 3A 57 ( 4-17) Hampton-Dumont 10.06 * 27.94
20 02/20/2004 Home W * 63.76 70 67 3A 29 (13-10) Charles City -12.35 15.35
21 02/24/2004 Home L 75.36 71 76 4A 5 (16- 8) Cedar Falls -0.75 -4.25
22 03/04/2004 Home L 68.36 62 74 4A 5 (16- 8) Cedar Falls -7.75 -4.25
Averages 76.11 66.1 54.9
Best game: 98.37 = 3 point win over Waterloo East
Worst game: 63.63 = 3 point loss to Waterloo Columbus
Team stdev: 10.38